Bewildering when do we see the first domestic Tesla?

Since the delivery of the Model S to the first batch of Chinese car owners in April 2014, there have been endless rumors that Tesla will build a factory in China. In recent days, there have been rumors that Tesla will set up factories in Shanghai's Lingang and Guangzhou cities, but Tesla has categorically denied this.

On February 6th this year, an article entitled “Transmission of Tesla to China to Set up a Factory with Shanghai’s Lingang Port” was widely disseminated. The article stated that Tesla will establish a joint venture with China to build an annual output of 500,000 vehicles in Lingang, Shanghai. At the production base, the two sides each contributed half of their capital.

However, the subsequent rumors were unanimously denied by Tesla and Shanghai Lingang. Tesla stated in a response: "Tesla is committed to cultivating the Chinese market, but the glare that is being circulated is not true." Shanghai Lingang issued a clarification announcement saying: "The Lingang Group has so far failed Tesla signed a cooperation agreement on its establishment of a plant in China and has not participated in the relevant investment."

In early April, there were rumors that Tesla would build a factory in Guangzhou. It was rumored that Tesla's Guangzhou site had already been selected. He only had to wait for approval from the relevant authorities. If it goes smoothly, Tesla may announce this news this year.

However, in response to this rumors, Tesla’s US headquarters gave a similar response: “Tesla has been committed to the development of the Chinese market, but the rumor that we are about to build a factory in Guangdong is not true.”

Some analysts claimed that this rumor was related to Tencent spending $1.8 billion on March 17 to purchase Tesla's 5% stake, which made Tencent the fifth largest shareholder of Tesla. However, both Tencent and Tesla have expressed that this transaction is only a simple equity relationship, only the evolution of the commercial level of cooperation, of course, will not involve such a deep joint venture to build factories.

Prior to this, there were various rumors that Tesla would establish a joint venture with JAC and Shanghai Jinqiao Group, but they were all denied.

However, these rumors are not groundless. According to "21st Century Business Herald," which quoted people familiar with the matter, Tesla had started negotiations with the Shanghai Municipal Government two years ago. The content involved Tesla's domestic projects. It is reported that this project will be linked to Tesla. The Nevada Gigafactory is quite similar.

Tesla’s super factory built in Nevada covers an area of ​​13.6 million square feet. Upon completion, it will become one of the world’s largest physical buildings and will greatly increase the production capacity of Tesla’s electric vehicles.

The person familiar with the matter also revealed that Tesla’s plan for cooperation is indeed Shanghai Lingang, as the port city’s investment is directly responsible by the Shanghai municipal government, and policy is relatively better. Moreover, if Tesla is to build a factory in China with a scale comparable to the super factory in Nevada, Shanghai Lingang is one of the few options in the area. However, the most devastating reason for this negotiation is that Tesla’s request is too high.

In addition, there are also stakeholders of new energy manufacturing companies, said that local governments have great incentives for new energy auto companies, so Tesla's resistance to building factories in China is likely to come from within.

However, if Tesla builds and builds factories in China, at least 25% of its import tariffs and 17% of value-added tax will be waived. Ultimately, it will reduce its prices by one-third on the basis of the current situation. Tesla will win a great competitive advantage in the Chinese market.

However, Tesla is still required to pay a 25% value-added tax according to the current regulations if parts are only imported through semi-bulk or all-in-one assembly and assembled in China. This means that Tesla must purchase or produce in China. Parts can significantly reduce the factory cost.

In an interview with Lei Feng Net new wisdom drive, Sea Power new analyst Yang Shuai said that Tesla is likely to build a factory in China, because Tesla is the world's benchmark electric vehicle company. "In the country, if Tesla comes in, it should form an impact on the domestic industry chain companies, and it can bring about an overall improvement in technology and channels for domestic companies," said Yang Shuai.

Yang Shuai also told Lei Feng that the company will face a lot of technical impacts such as batteries, motors, and electrical controls once Tesla successfully builds a factory in China with a comparable size to the Nevada super factory. In addition, Tesla is also ahead of domestic automakers in terms of manufacturing costs and technology maturity, so Tesla will also challenge domestic new energy automakers in terms of price.

According to Lei Feng Network (public number: Lei Feng network) new intellectual driving to understand that foreign car manufacturers in China usually can only choose to build a joint venture with domestic car manufacturers to build factories, this is because for the purpose of protecting domestic brands, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce regulations Foreign automakers can only assemble cars in China through joint ventures with domestic manufacturers, and the proportion of foreign shares cannot exceed 50%.

Yang Shuai said that if Tesla wants to build a factory in China, there is a high probability that a joint venture will be used. In addition, for joint ventures and factories, the daily car once quoted a securities investment analyst as saying: “For Tesla, which has already opened its patents, technology sharing is not a resistance.” In other words, if you consider building in China, In the case of the plant, Tesla will not exclude entering in a joint venture.

But even if Tesla built a factory in China, it will take some time for it to achieve mass production. After all, the fact that the Model 3 has postponed many shipments has caused many people to question Tesla about its production capacity. It seems that when we see the first domestic Tesla is still a time of no optimism.

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