The chip market will decline by 2% in 2011

A few days ago, semiconductor industry research institute Semico Research reduced the forecast value of the 2011 chip market, predicting that the market sales will decline by 2% compared with 2010. The agency previously forecast that the growth rate of the wafer market in 2011 was 6%, while other market research institutions recently forecasted the growth rate of the wafer market this year to be around 6% or more.

Semico's downward revision of forecasting data may be the most disturbing sign since the chip market started to decline in 2011; many chip makers and semiconductor-related companies have recently issued poor warnings in the second half of the year. Semico President Jim Feldhan accepted the EETimes US version of the interview, said that the company is based on customer talks, and other signs of lack of motivation in the second half of 2011, the chip market, only to make a decision on the growth rate of growth forecast. Feldhan pointed out that some people still believe that the chip industry will continue to grow at a single-digit rate in 2011 due to strong momentum in the fourth quarter; but he believes that the possibility does not appear to be high.

Not long ago, the United States Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) also announced a three-month average of sales in the global semiconductor industry in July, which was US$24.85 billion, a decrease of 1.1% from the same month in 2010. The above data is roughly in line with the predictions of analysts such as Bruce Diesen and Mike Cowan, and the SIA also reported signs of recovery in the Japanese semiconductor market.

ICInsights, another market research institution, also reduced its 2011 semiconductor industry growth rate forecast from 10% to 5% last month; Gartner's 2011 semiconductor industry growth rate forecast was revised down from 6.2% to 5.1. %. In addition, Semiconductor Intelligence reduced the previously forecasted semiconductor market growth rate of 9% in 2011 to 4%. Contrary to numerous industry opinions, IHS iSuppli, the agency's forecast for the 2011 wafer market growth rate in June, was revised from 7% to 7.2%.

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